New University Model Predicts 350,000 Dead By The End Of June

A new model developed by the University of Pennsylvania is now predicting that the United States could see a total death count of 350,000 if all lockdown measures are lifted. As CBS Philadelphia reports:

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) — Governors in Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware have a lot to consider before fully reopening. If they open too quickly, that could result in more deaths, according to a new model from the Wharton School at the University Of Pennsylvania…

Here’s what the model shows: if states continue stay-at-home orders, the model predicts, nationwide, roughly 117,000 COVID-19 deaths from May 1 through the end of June, with 18.6 million jobs lost.

Partially reopening would result in additional deaths during the same time, with 14 million jobs lost.

But if all states fully reopen, it estimates nearly 350,000 COVID-19 deaths by the end of June, with a half-million jobs lost. So, the data shows the number of deaths could surge if states open too quickly.

The models indicate that the cost of reopening may be high in terms of human life, but keeping the lockdowns in place could be just as devastating. Let us know what you think should the priority should be in the comments below.

 

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